UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Duke 1
  
Duke                  
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 90.9700

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Elon Colonial ( 9- 8, 86.7) 16- 7 209 H High Point Big South (12- 6, 86.4) 17- 6 215 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (12- 6, 92.7) 11-12 222 A Boston College ACC (17- 2, 99.3) 10-19 228 H Notre Dame ACC ( 7- 8, 91.2) 11- 9 302 H Xavier Big East ( 2-13, 78.9) 16- 9 308 A Clemson ACC (13- 6, 91.3) 12-11 310 A Campbell Colonial ( 3-12, 83.0) 14- 6 315 A Virginia ACC (11- 6, 92.8) 11-16 321 H California ACC ( 6-10, 86.3) 13- 4 325 A East Carolina AAC ( 7-10, 85.5) 14-13 329 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 9, 88.6) 15- 6 401 H Brown Ivy League (10- 6, 91.0) 14-13 405 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 8, 88.3) 14-10 412 A Louisville ACC ( 7-10, 87.3) 17- 7 417 H North Carolina ACC (18- 0, 99.9) 6-18 423 N Clemson ACC (13- 6, 91.3) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Elon                   16- 7       9     5           0.30
   209 H High Point             17- 6      11     5           0.00
   215 A Johns Hopkins          11-12      -1    -2           1.22
   222 A Boston College         10-19      -9    -9           0.00
   228 H Notre Dame             11- 9       2     0           1.72
   302 H Xavier                 16- 9       7    13           0.00
   308 A Clemson                12-11       1    -1           1.80
   310 A Campbell               14- 6       8     8           0.00
   315 A Virginia               11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.73
   321 H California             13- 4       9     5           0.00
   325 A East Carolina          14-13       1     5    -     -3.98
   329 H Virginia Tech          15- 6       9     3    +      2.12
   401 H Brown                  14-13       1     0           0.60
   405 A Pittsburgh             14-10       4     2           1.77
   412 A Louisville             17- 7      10     3           1.84
   417 H North Carolina          6-18     -12    -8           0.00
   423 N Clemson                 7-15      -8     0    --    -4.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 N Clemson                 7-15      -8     0    --    -4.66
   315 A Virginia               11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.73
   325 A East Carolina          14-13       1     5    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Virginia Tech          15- 6       9     3    +      2.12

Duke Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Albany Duke insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Duke
American Duke   Duke
Arizona State Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Army Duke   Duke
Binghamton Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boston College Boston College Boston College  
Boston University Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Brown Duke Duke  
Bryant Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Bucknell Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Butler Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
California Duke Duke  
Campbell Duke Duke  
Canisius Duke   Duke
Central Connecticut Duke   Duke
Central Michigan Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Cincinnati Duke insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Duke
Clemson Clemson tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 1) Clemson
Coastal Carolina Duke Duke   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Colgate Duke   Duke
Colorado Duke   Duke
Columbia Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Connecticut Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Cornell Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Dartmouth Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Duke
Davidson Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Duke
Delaware Duke tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Duke
Delaware State Duke   Duke
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Denver
Detroit Mercy Duke   Duke
Drexel Duke tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Duke
Duquesne Duke   Duke
East Carolina Duke Duke  
Eastern Michigan Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Elon Duke Duke  
Fairfield Duke   Duke
Fairleigh Dickinson Duke   Duke
Florida Florida insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Florida
Furman Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Gardner Webb Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
George Mason Duke   Duke
George Washington Duke   Duke
Georgetown Duke tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Duke
Harvard Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
High Point Duke Duke  
Hofstra Duke insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Duke
Holy Cross Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Howard (DC) Duke   Duke
Iona Duke   Duke
Jacksonville Duke   Duke
James Madison James Madison tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins  
Kennesaw State Duke   Duke
Kent State Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
La Salle Duke   Duke
Lafayette Duke   Duke
Le Moyne Duke   Duke
Lehigh Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Liberty Duke Duke   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Lindenwood Duke   Duke
LIU Duke   Duke
Longwood Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Louisville Duke Duke  
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Duke   Duke
Marist Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Marquette Duke tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Duke
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Duke   Duke
Mercer Duke insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Duke
Mercyhurst Duke   Duke
Merrimack Duke   Duke
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount St Marys Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Navy
New Hampshire Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Niagara Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina  
Northwestern Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Northwestern
Notre Dame Duke Duke  
Ohio State Duke tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Duke
Old Dominion Duke insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Duke
Oregon Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Duke
Penn Penn tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Penn
Penn State Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Duke
Pittsburgh Duke Duke  
Presbyterian Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Princeton Princeton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Princeton
Queens Duke Duke   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Quinnipiac Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Radford Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Rhode Island Duke   Duke
Richmond Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Rider Duke   Duke
Robert Morris Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Rutgers Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Sacred Heart Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
San Diego State Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Siena Duke   Duke
South Florida Duke tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Duke
Southern California Duke tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Duke
St Bonaventure Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
St Francis Duke   Duke
St Josephs (PA) Duke   Duke
Stanford Stanford insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 7- 1) Stanford
Stetson Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Duke
Stonehill Duke   Duke
Stony Brook Stony Brook tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 5- 5)( 4- 5) Syracuse
Temple Duke Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Towson Duke insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Duke
UC Davis Duke Duke   3- 0 vs 1- 2
UMBC Duke   Duke
UNC-Charlotte Duke Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Vanderbilt Duke Duke   4- 1 vs 1- 3
VCU Duke Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Vermont Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Villanova Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Virginia Virginia Virginia  
Virginia Tech Duke Duke  
Wagner Duke   Duke
William & Mary Duke Duke   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Winthrop Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wofford Duke insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Duke
Xavier Duke Duke  
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yale
Youngstown State Duke   Duke

PowerWise = 110


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.82

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Elon            ( 9- 8, 86.7)    16- 7      -13.17      17.39      -0.46         0.99            16.75
   0 H High Point      (12- 6, 86.4)    17- 6      -13.51      17.04      -0.46         0.99            16.41
   0 A Johns Hopkins   (12- 6, 92.7)    11-12       -7.18      23.38       0.46         0.99            -6.64
   0 A Boston College  (17- 2, 99.3)    10-19       -0.58      29.98       0.46         0.99            -0.11
   0 H Notre Dame      ( 7- 8, 91.2)    11- 9       -8.75      21.81      -0.46         0.99            21.13
   0 H Xavier          ( 2-13, 78.9)    16- 9      -21.00       9.55      -0.46         0.99             9.00
   0 A Clemson         (13- 6, 91.3)    12-11       -8.59      21.97       0.46         0.99            22.20
   0 A Campbell        ( 3-12, 83.0)    14- 6      -16.93      13.63       0.46         0.99            13.94
   0 A Virginia        (11- 6, 92.8)    11-16       -7.13      23.43       0.46         0.99            -6.59
   0 H California      ( 6-10, 86.3)    13- 4      -13.64      16.91      -0.46         0.99            16.28
   0 A East Carolina   ( 7-10, 85.5)    14-13      -14.38      16.18       0.46         0.99            16.47
   0 H Virginia Tech   ( 9- 9, 88.6)    15- 6      -11.35      19.21      -0.46         0.99            18.55
   0 H Brown           (10- 6, 91.0)    14-13       -8.87      21.69      -0.46         0.99            21.00
   0 A Pittsburgh      ( 8- 8, 88.3)    14-10      -11.62      18.94       0.46         0.99            19.20
   0 A Louisville      ( 7-10, 87.3)    17- 7      -12.55      18.00       0.46         0.99            18.28
   0 H North Carolina  (18- 0, 99.9)     6-18       -0.00      30.56      -0.46         0.99            -0.46
   0 N Clemson         (13- 6, 91.3)     7-15       -8.59      21.97      -0.00         0.99            -8.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       186.90

winning pts = 209.2063 losing points = -22.3069

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------